I’ll take system backup as an example below. Please ensure your computer and Synology NAS within the same Intranet. Make sure your Synology NAS software and hardware installed.Ĭreate a shared folder on the Synology NAS. Furthermore, AOMEI Backupper Standard is a freeware which supports many backup operations, clone and restore features.īefore you backup Windows 10 PC to Synology NAS, please make preparations: I personally prefer to take advantage of the Synology backup software, because AOMEI backupper Standard is more efficient than Windows built-in Backup program, and it’s the easiest way to backup data to Synology NAS. Try the free Synology backup software - AOMEI Backupper Standard. Use the backup program coming with Windows 10 - Backup and Restore (Windows 7). How to backup Windows 10 PC to Synology NAS? There are two ways to realize: In sum, it’s obvious that perform Synology backup in Windows 10 is the ideal way to protect important data, and repair Windows 10 problems caused by virus attack, misoperation, improper installation, Windows 10 update, etc. And I have to backup Windows 10 Operating System to Synology NAS for more disk space. Besides, with the data increasing, the free space of my hard disk is reduced. As long as the network is connected properly, you can access the image and use it to restore your computer, even if the computer does not start. Whether your computer is corrupted or crashed, the backup image will not be affected and lay there safe and sound. However, many applications I installed before is gone, which makes me spend a lot of time to reinstall.”Īfter this, I find the best solution to restore system is to backup data to Synology NAS. I’m so excited my computer works eventually. Since I’m not a technician so I turn to my friend for help, he told me that my Windows 10 is corrupted and I have to reinstall Windows in my computer, and then he helped me to reinstall Windows 10 system. “I bought my computer 5 years ago, I have encountered a very serious problem that I can't boot up my computer, and I don’t know how it happened. How to Backup Windows 10 to Synology NAS?īackup Windows 10 to Synology NAS with AOMEI Backupperīackup Windows 10 to Synology NAS with Backup and Restore
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My thesis-on which agreement may be less general-is this: the way to solve this problem is not to look for better forecasts by perfecting techniques or hiring more or better forecasters. On this point, there is probably a large consensus. Most managers know from experience how inaccurate forecasts can be. McNees and John Ries, “The Track Record of Macroeconomic Forecasts,” New England Economic Review, November–December 1983, p. Yet note how far outside the forecast demand range reality proved to be in 1984.ġStephen K. This company allocates more resources to analyzing the future environment than do most companies and is well respected for its professionalism. Here is one major oil company’s forecast of oil demand, made as late as 1978. The oil industry-which before 1973 enjoyed the steadiest growth of all major industries-is still living with its failure to anticipate the turbulent changes that have occurred since then. Many business cases illustrate a similar phenomenon. After all, in economics as in meteorology, it’s the ability to predict stormy change that makes forecasting useful.” As journalist Warren Brookes commented, “This is like forecasting partly cloudy and getting a ten-inch snowstorm instead. Instead, the economy plunged into a deep recession, with a GNP decline of 1.8 %. In the summer of 1981, the median one-year-ahead forecast of five prominent forecasters had predicted 2.1 % growth in U.S. “Forecasts made in 1981 and early 1982 underestimated the severity of the 1982 recession and the deceleration of inflation that accompanied it.” 1 “Forecasts made during the 1980 recession underestimated the strength of the early recovery.” “Forecasts made from mid-1977 through early 1978 did not capture the acceleration of the inflation rate in 19.” “Forecasts made from 1973 through early 1974 initially did not foresee the recession and later misinterpreted the severe recession as an ‘energy spasm.’” But on four occasions, the magnitude of error was large. For more than half of this period, they were quite successful. Stephen McNees of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston has been analyzing the track record of the best-known economic forecasters since 1970. In few fields has the concentration of the best techniques and the best brains been as high as that in short-term macroeconomic forecasting for the United States. But sooner or later forecasts will fail when they are needed most: in anticipating major shifts in the business environment that make whole strategies obsolete (see the insert, “Wrong When It Hurts Most”). They often work because the world does not always change. They are usually constructed on the assumption that tomorrow’s world will be much like today’s. And that is what makes them so dangerous. Since the early 1970s, however, forecasting errors have become more frequent and occasionally of dramatic and unprecedented magnitude.įorecasts are not always wrong more often than not, they can be reasonably accurate. Traditional planning was based on forecasts, which worked reasonably well in the relatively stable 1950s and 1960s. In this article and a sequel to come, the author describes their evolution and ultimate impact on Shell’s management.įew companies today would say they are happy with the way they plan for an increasingly fluid and turbulent business environment. But the decision scenarios developed by Shell in Europe are a far cry from their usual U.S. Undoubtedly, many readers believe they are familiar with scenarios. And again in 1981, when other oil companies stockpiled reserves in the aftermath of the outbreak of the Iran-Iraq war, Shell sold off its excess before the glut became a reality and prices collapsed. Beginning in the late 1960s and early 1970s, Shell developed a technique known as “scenario planning.” By listening to planners’ analysis of the global business environment, Shell’s management was prepared for the eventuality-if not the timing-of the 1973 oil crisis. Still, there are exceptions, like Royal Dutch/Shell. companies continue to use a variety of forecasting techniques because no one has apparently developed a better way to deal with the future’s economic uncertainty. The reason is obvious: forecasters seem to be more often wrong than right. It is fashionable to downplay and even denigrate the usefulness of economic forecasting. There is only so much that self-study can accomplish. That is why people take lessons: way better results and progress, much more complete information, exposed to way more creative ideas than you can get from a blog or YouTube video. These free lessons are cool, but you will never experience the progress, joy, and results that my students experience in lessons when you’re learning by yourself from blogs and videos. Hit me up anytime at if you have any questions, or if you would like to book a lesson. Not a whole lot of chords or chord movement, repetitive melody lines (“the sun is up, the sky is blue, it’s beautiful, and so are you” – same 3 melody notes over and again, no call and response), a distinctive mood and vibe that is beyond just major or minor. When vocals kick in, it becomes a 12 bar blues. Very few chords, same chord repeating for a long time in the intro and all keyboard solos. The song is in D Dorian, transposes up a half step to Eb Dorian for the B section. Notice the character of the song: very floating, like a snapshot, not a whole lot of movement, only 1 chord (in the first section), the song evokes and creates a mood more than it tells a story. The 1st part is in Mixolydian, the 2nd part is in Dorian. Less call and response, it just keeps meandering, in the moment. Lots of repetition, only 1 chord, melodies evoke a journey and a mood, more than they tell a story. Cool examples of modal music to illustrate the above descriptions. When you move the first note down a half step in Locrian, you get a Lydian scale. Interesting to ponder if it is a coincidence, that the scale perfectly in the center (of the above list), and thus with the perfect balance between light and dark mood, is also palindromic.Īnother fun fact: while it appears Lydian and Locrian couldn’t be any more removed from one another, they are actually only 1 note different from one another. You get the same intervals in the same order ascending and descending. It’s fun to mention also that of these modes, Dorian is a palindrome. Music was created not on the principle of major and minor, nor as a means to tell a story, but in terms of creating and expressing moods, picking the appropriate mode that most closely evoked the mood one wanted to express or share. That is precisely how modes were approached in Medieval Music. Lydian is the brightest, most open-sounding mode, Locrian is the darkest sounding mode.Īs you go from Lydian to Locrian, the modes get progressively darker.ĭorian is said to be the most (emotionally, moodily) balanced sounding scale between happy and sad, light and dark.Īfter all, it is right in the middle of the list. This is well illustrated when you look at the intervallic structures of the modes.Īs the distance between the tonic (1, C) and all other following notes gets smaller, this has the effect of a scale sounding sadder and darker with each note flattening. “Mode” comes from a Greek word which, supposedly, means “mood”. That is the difference between “mode” and “scale”. There are more different mood gradations beyond just happy (major) and sad (minor). Scales: we use scales not in limiting terms of major and minor, but think of each scale as having its own characteristic color and mood.Melodies feel like a “stream of consciousness” type of run-on sentences, not call and response.Usually no song sections, but repetition of the same melody.No tension and resolution, just being in the moment with focus on the feel and color of the music.Chord progressions oftentimes based on a drone, centering the melodies on a focused point.The music is meant to evoke feelings, textures, a mood, an experience, through the color of each mode.Scales: we think in terms of major and minor scales, happy stories, and sad stories.Melodies are constructed of short phrases that usually have a call and response type of feel, enhancing a sense of musical story-telling.The music has chord progressions based on tonic, subdominant, and dominant, creating movement through tension-resolution.Is based on the development of a melodic idea. Improved battery save mode: The first press of the user key or the power key to turn the screen on will no longer execute that key's customized function ggz files.įixed issues with entering coordinates in languages other than English.įixed potential shutdown when setting up the Page Loop feature.Ĭhanges made from version 3.10 to 3.30 (): Improved boot time when large amounts of photos are presentįixed issue with incorrect letter capitalization of certain map pointsįixed issue retrieving PLSS data in certain TOPO US 24k mapsįixed possible issue with +/- buttons when using Sight N' GoĬhanges made from version 3.50 to 3.60 ():įixed calories not being displayed when using a heart rate monitor.įixed erroneous temperature values below 0 degrees C when using a tempe wireless temperature sensor.įixed proximity warning alert text being unreadable in some situations.įixed possible shutdown when using the Favorites dashboard.Ĭhanges made from version 3.30 to 3.50 ():įixed issue with wirelessly transferring geocaches stored in. Improved display of marine-specific lines in BlueChart g2 maps Improved vertical speed and grade data fieldsĬhanges made from version 3.60 to 3.80 ():Īdded a separate zoom level setting for geocaches (Setup > Map > Advanced Map Setup > Zoom Levels > Geocaches)Īdded support for additional ActiveRouting cartography Improved average ascent and average descent data fields Improved boot time when a large amount of BirdsEye satellite imagery is presentĬhanges made from version 3.90 to 4.10 ():įixed issue with barometer when auto calibration is turned off.įixed Cyrillic cardinal direction characters in waypoint position editing.įixed missing ascent, descent, and elevation statistics when reviewing certain tracks.įixed issue with geocaching 'Next Stage' feature.įixed possible shutdown when using custom waypoint symbols.Ĭhanges made from version 3.80 to 3.90 ( ): When saving a portion, the device now remembers that position in the track log so it can be used as a track segment for future portion saving.įixed possible erroneous track point on power on.įixed output of SNR in $GPGSV NMEA sentence.Ĭhanges made from version 4.30 to 4.40 ():įixed several track distance statistic issuesĬhanges made from version 4.20 to 4.30 ():įixed possible issue where the internal battery pack would not chargeįixed possible graphical issue in landscape orientation while using nuvi modeĬhanges made from version 4.10 to 4.20 (): Improved odometer performance in the first few minutes after powering the device on.įixed possible missing Recent Finds after switching profiles.įixed possible freeze when using large number of waypoints.įixed potential crash while scrolling through photos.Ĭhanges made from version 5.30 to 5.40 ():Ĭhanges made from version 5.10 to 5.30 ():Ĭhanges made from version 5.00 to 5.10 ():Ĭhanges made from version 4.90 to 5.00 ():Īdded support for optional MTP interface mode (Setup > System > Interface)Ĭhanges made from version 4.80 to 4.90 ():įixed issue with saved track stats precisionĬhanges made from version 4.60 to 4.80 ():įixed issue importing adventures from SD cards.Ĭhanges made from version 4.40 to 4.60 (): Improved performance when reviewing map data. Oregon 6x0 (WebUpdater) software version : ICIĬhanges made from version 5.50 to 5.60 ():Ĭhanges made from version 5.40 to 5.50 (): The cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Performance". This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. His music is what he believes he must use to cope with his reality. NF talks about the fans who are dealing with things he relates too and explains that his music is not only there for them, but is also for him personally. Explore the latest videos from hashtags: nftherapysession, nftherapy, nftherapysessiontour. 'Therapy Session' is a brooding, haunting track, with a symphonic, epic feel. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other. Discover short videos related to NF Therapy Session on TikTok. SoundCloud NF - Therapy Session by Christian Hip Hop Corner published on. This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. Listen to NF - Therapy Session, a playlist curated by Christian Hip Hop Corner on desktop and mobile. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary". The cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Functional". Yeah, I gotta say like a month agoI was talking to fans And one of them pulled me aside and said 'We never met but I swear that you know who I am I been through a lot I dont know how to express it to people Dont think that I can but I got that mansion CD on rotation That. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics". These cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the website, anonymously. His music, which is receiving high accolades from the media, draws from numerous real life struggles including being abused, dealing with anger issues and losing his mother to a drug overdose.Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. Complete your purchase of the CD album to save the MP3 version to your Music Library. His songs have been featured on numerous TV outlets such as ESPN, Monday Night Football, VH1, Showtime, and NBC prime time shows such as “Chicago PD.” He is a 24 year-old Gladwin, Michigan native who shares his story with lyrical vulnerability complimented by raw energy. Buy the CD album for 7.78 and get the MP3 version for FREE. I’m pumped about the record.”Īs Capitol CMG Label Group’s most recent signing and compelling new talent, NF’s popularity continues to reach the masses. But it’s also very diverse…I just want to make an album that represents me, but also is different from what people are doing, and I think that’s what I’m doing. Yeah, I got off stage like a month ago I was talking to fans And one of ’em pulled me aside and said We never met, but I swear that you know who I am. Really, thats what 'Intro 2' serves as: a trailer for the rest of the album. 'Intro 2' kicks things off similarly to the first album, but with even more intensity and added choir vocals to the movie-traileresque music driving the explosive track forward. It’s really in your face, kind of like the first record. While the first album was dark and a bit gritty, Therapy Session is far more so. NF spoke about the new album in a recent interview with Rapzilla, saying: “If you’re an NF fan and you like the first record, I think you’re going to love this record. This record will follow up his chart-topping 2015 release Mansion. FAQs for Therapy Session When was Therapy Session released Therapy Session is a english language album released in 2016. Listen to all of Therapy Session online on JioSaavn. The songs were composed by NF, a talented musician. There are a total of 14 songs in Therapy Session. Christian rapper NF took to social media today to reveal the track listing for his new album, Th erapy Session, due out on April 22, 2016. ORDERS OUTSIDE OF THE USA ARE SUBJECT TO IMPORT TAXES AND FEES - THIS IS THE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE CUSTOMER. Therapy Session is and English album released in 2016. Along with many different subject areas, you will find worksheets for many subjects, including science, history, and even the arts. Each worksheet also has a target accuracy and time. They are available in PDF format, and they feature a concern page and answer key pages. These generally include basic calculations, which form the building blocks of math skills. Free Printable Cut And Paste Alphabet Worksheets are available for students in grades one through eight. Still, you will find plenty of free worksheets for the more traditional subjects, as well. You can even look at sites assortment of free tutorials and printables, which contains 30 easy-to-understand tutorials, 70 summaries, 380 flashcards, and even an ebook with reading comprehension. Some of them offer worksheet generators and specialized content for specific topics. Look at the two numbers in each section and decide if the first number is greater than, less than or equal to the second. There are countless websites that provide Free Printable Cut And Paste Alphabet Worksheets, including the ones listed below. These worksheets have now been created to produce learning fun, although they are aimed at increasing students academic performance. That is where printable worksheets come in. Numbers up to 20: Worksheet 3 Worksheet 4. Numbers up to 10: Worksheet 1 Worksheet 2. The worksheets introduce the use of the symbols in direct comparison of numbers rather than groups of objects. Teachers, parents, and educators recognize that the easiest way to boost academic performance is through practice, but many children are resistant to regular practice sessions. Comparing numbers: more than / less than symbols (> < ) Students compare numbers with more than / less than / equal to symbols. 20 Free Printable Cut And Paste Alphabet Worksheets Whether you are buying a Free Printable Cut And Paste Alphabet Worksheets or an easy way to review a concept, you can find them online. An algorithm X is said to be asymptotically better than Y if X takes smaller time than y for all input sizes n larger than a value n0 where n0 >. Assembling Scenes To Create a Novel – Cat Rambo – Medium.Tips on Writing a Great Short Story ~ September C.Putting The Words In The Right Order: A „Fifty Shades“ Line-Editing Demonstration – Google Slides.Geschickt gendern – Das Genderwörterbuch.Writing the Other Resources for Writing Diverse Characters.Six Rape Tropes and How to Replace Them – Mythcreants.Find minorities to interview and to do sensitivity reading.Plutchik’s Wheel of Emotions: A Guide to Understanding Emotions.David Alex Lamb: Writing Engaging Characters.Classic Manuscript Format | William Shunn.Sample Novel Manuscript | William Shunn.Modern Manuscript Format, Short Story | William Shunn. Writer’s Complete Planner Pages Printables | Etsy.Tips on Discipline (Chapter 1 Extra) | Wonderbook.Sample Poetry Manuscript | William Shunn.Proper Manuscript Format for Fiction Writers | William Shunn.Encourage Rather than Discourage | by Cat Rambo | Medium Session „Kreativität“ – Autorencamp 2012 by Mela Eckenfels | Free Listening on SoundCloud.Eight marvelous and melancholy things I’ve learned about creativity – The Oatmeal.Last Drink Bird Head (examples and discussion) | Wonderbook.„A deck of 150 writing prompts designed to inspire journaling, cure writer’s block, and put you back in control of your creativity.“.„Supercharge your stories with the only writing tool backed by research.“.„Say goodbye to writer’s block forever“.Maps for Writers with Creative Writing Prompts and Story Ideas – Writing Maps: Creative Writing Prompts and Ideas for Stories.formerly, now incorporated into the National Novel Writing Month Website.The goal is to write a 50,000 word, (approximately 175 page) novel by 11:59:59, November 30. Participants begin writing on November 1. National Novel Writing Month is a fun, seat-of-your-pants approach to novel writing. I hope it will be helpful for other people, too. It contains the resources that come my way and I deemed interesting, helpful or I just wanted to remember. This Outliner does not strive to be a complete list of writing tools and resources.Daher ist die Auflistung hier wohl nie ganz so aktuell, wie das Original im Outliner, aber wohl ewas angenehmer zu lesen: Dies ist eine Kopie meiner Schreibtool-Sammlung, die ich in einem Diigo-Outliner pflege. If you have any love in your heart for the series, then you'll definitely want at least one of these titles on your phone or tablet. One of the most beloved RPG sagas is well-represented on Android with over a dozen iconic Final Fantasy games to choose from. This game is definitely worth checking out if you're a fan of either Battle Chasers or simply looking for a new JRPG to dive into. Gully is joined by a supporting cast that includes Knowlan the wise old mage who always travels with Calibretto, an ancient war golem built for battle that developed his own sentience and emotions. The main character of the story is a young girl named Gully who is on a quest to find her father, Aramus, a renowned hero who left behind powerful gauntlets before mysteriously disappearing - gauntlets that his daughter now makes use of in her own epic adventure. An RPG is only as good as its story and characters, and given that this game is based on a graphic novel of the same name, we're given fully developed characters and a compelling story. Along with the dense and sprawling world to explore that's teeming with enemies to do battle with, there are also deep crafting elements for upgrading your team's weapons, armors, and magical jewelry. The turn-based combat is inspired by all the favorites you remember from the JRPG genre and is a real treat even for a casual fan like myself. Hallelujah!Įverything about this game is polished and complete, and it starts with a robust overworld that's filled with hidden dungeons to explore, epic bosses to take down, and other surprises along the way. Battle Chasers: Nightwar is an award-winning JRPG that offers one of the most complete mobile RPG experiences you'll play in 2020 - and that's complete in the sense that there are no in-app purchases or paid DLC to worry about. Throughout the Bible the number seven, when used symbolically, means completeness or perfection. John uses the number seven with so many different symbols which should be understood in a symbolic way. Finally, there are seven mountains and seven kings (Revelation 17:3, 9, 10). The seven gifts of the Holy Spirit are wisdom, understanding, counsel, fortitude, knowledge, piety, and fear of the Lord. And a beast with seven heads (Revelation 13:1), and seven angels having seven vials containing the seven last plagues (Revelation 15:1, 7). Also there is a dragon with seven heads and seven crowns (Revelation 12:3). In addition, there are the seven angels with seven trumpets (Revelation 8:2), and the seven thunders (Revelation 10:4). Also, there is a book with seven seals (Revelation 5:1), the seven horns and seven eyes of the Lamb (Revelation 5:6). 16), and seven lamps of fire (Revelation 4:5). The number “seven” in the Revelation is seen frequently. 11 But one and the same Spirit works all these things, distributing to each one individually as He wills” (1 Cor. 7 But the manifestation of the Spirit is given to each one for the profit of all: 8 for to one is given the word of wisdom through the Spirit, to another the word of knowledge through the same Spirit, 9 to another faith by the same Spirit, to another gifts of healings by the same Spirit, 10 to another the working of miracles, to another prophecy, to another discerning of spirits, to another different kinds of tongues, to another the interpretation of tongues. 6 And there are diversities of activities, but it is the same God who works all in all. 5 There are differences of ministries, but the same Lord. “There are diversities of gifts, but the same Spirit. This are the listed seven spirits of God in the book of Isaiah chapter 11:1-2. READ How To Win Souls For Christ What Are The Seven Spirits Of God. By revelation, Isaiah define God through the seven spirits. The designation “seven” implies the variety of the gifts by which the Holy Spirit works through man. The spirit of God is the definition of who God is, because no scholars or anyone can’t define God. The fact that these seven Spirits are before God’s throne of “him which is, and which was, and which is to come,” implies also readiness for His prompt service (Revelation 4:2–5). The association here of the “seven Spirits” with the Father and with Christ, as the spring of the Christian’s grace and peace, means that they represent the Holy Spirit. He said, “Grace to you and peace from Him who is and who was and who is to come, and from the seven Spirits who are before His throne” (Revelation 1:4). The apostle John wrote from the island of Patmos to the seven churches in the province of Asia. |
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